Durian

SCMP: The Wrangling in Raub Struck a Stark Contrast to the Thai Durian Export Juggernaut

A legal battle is underway between Raub durian farmers and a state-backed conglomerate. The dispute involved allegations that the farmers were encroaching and converting state government land into illegal durian plantations, as well as accusations that the Royal Pahang Durian Resources (RPDR) was exploiting the small-scale farmers by demanding unreasonable yield targets in a deal to legalise them.

The conundrum now involves an enquiry by the Malaysian Anti-Corruption Commission (MACC), who are questioning the farmers over the aforementioned land encroachment.

A recent SCMP article by Tashny Sukumaran covered the story in more detail, in which our principal Khor Yu Leng was quoted.

The wrangling in Raub struck a stark contrast to the Thai durian export juggernaut, said economist Khor Yu Leng, noting that Thailand had recorded almost US$1 billion in sales to China from March to June.

“Trade is just getting its footing and it would be unwise for people to try and muscle in,” she said.

While Malaysia has pinned great hopes on its new channel of frozen durian exports, the word from some eyeing volume to China is for volume to be flattish against 2019. Last year, China approved Malaysian imports, although this appeared to be delayed; durian insiders said there were some wrangling on the Malaysia-side over who would be allowed to export under the then-Pakatan Harapan administration.

This came as surprise as Malaysia is coming up from almost zero-base; tackling the China market seemed to offer enough room for all enterprising exporters. More recently, wrangles have appeared in the Raub area, which also supplies the famed Musang king (mao shan wang/MSW) durian. The previously described legal saga has unlicensed farmers fearing lopsided terms with a joint venture durian concessionaire-cum-marketing wannabe. In the meantime, the Thai durian export juggernaut has powered ahead with almost USD1 billion in sales to China in March-June, a record sales volume with unit prices doubling in the last two years.

BFM: Thorny Dispute Over Unlicenced Durian Farming

FireShot Capture 519 - BFM_ The Business Station - Podcast Evening Edition_ Thorny Dispute O_ - www.bfm.my.png

Segi Enam Advisors principal Khor Yu Leng was invited on BFM to talk about unlicenced durian farming in Malaysia. This follows the slew of allegations from unlicenced Musang King farmers against the Royal Pahang Durian Resources PKPP Sdn Bhd, who claimed that they had been pressured into entering unfair contracts with the state-linked company. Click on the following link to listen to the podcast: Thorny Dispute Over Unlicenced Durian Farming.

Unlicenced Musang King farmers in Pahang are crying foul over a legalisation scheme by private state-linked company Royal Pahang Durian Produce-PKPP Sdn Bhd, which stipulates a yearly rent and a flat rate for durians. We speak with Khor Yu Leng for her insights.

Image Source: EPA-EFE; produced by: Loo Juosie; presented by: Lee Chwi Lynn

I Believe I Can Fly: AirAsia Mulls Flying Durians in Farm-to-Table Food Line-Up

An interesting bit of news amid the coronavirus outbreak: AirAsia Group Bhd is considering flying durians into East Malaysia and Singapore as part of its plan to send fresh produce directly from farms to restaurants. Outfarm, the budget airline’s agriculture e-commerce arm, has been preparing its trucks and planes to transport food in the next three to four months, an operation which the company claims could reduce procurement costs by as much as 25%. According to Lalitah Sivanaser, the Chief Executive Officer of Outfarm:

“It’s the durian season now and we’re working very hard to get them on board… The Singaporeans, the Thais, as well Indonesians have reached out for durian exports using our platform.”

This talk of durians brings us back to our previous piece on the durian economy. In it, we discussed durians in China, as well as provided consolidated data on fruit farms and key indicators across Malaysia. Check it out here: Durians for China: A Preliminary View and Dashboard.

A Thorny Conundrum: A Case of the Coronovirus and the Durian Economy

The coronavirus outbreak has stymied the durian economy. Demand for the king of fruits has dipped dramatically amidst widespread city lock-downs and logistics disruptions in China, resulting in durian prices falling by as much as 50%—traders in Raub reported that prices for the Musang King has reduced from RM60 to RM30 per kg. The durian tourism industry has also been hit hard, especially following Malaysia’s temporary travel ban on Chinese nationals from all provinces currently under lock-down.

Unsurprisingly, farmers are becoming wary about processing their durian crops to China, and are beginning to look for alternatives locally and in Singapore. Their hesitance is justifiable—as explained in our previous post on the durian economy (see image below), China is expected to import from Malaysia USD120 million worth of durians annually, with approximately 23% of Malaysia premium-grade output exported, amounting to 75,000 tonnes to China in 2018. Overall, Malaysia reports RM173.3 million (about USD41.9 million) worth of durians in 3Q2019 exported around the globe, the highest quarter of recorded since 2015.

The drastic slowdown in durian imports from China would mean a lot of unwanted durians left in the traders’ storage. Overall trade with China in containers is down 20% or more in recent weeks and some may be affected by about 50% of airfreight volume supply cancelled (and expectations of elevated air freight rising significantly*).

There is some sliver of hope, however. CNA pointed out that the decreased demand in China was due to the outbreak itself—interest in the prickly fruit is still there, albeit just not the right time for a hearty durian meal. The Pahang Fruit Farmers’ Association has expressed optimism that the outbreak could be contained by the time the durian peak season (April to August 2020) comes around.

Until then, the Malaysian durian farmers (together with other fruits farmers in Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam and beyond) will have to continue to keep calm and carry on, at least until the storm of the coronavirus blows over.

Check out Khor Reports’ Durians for China: A Preliminary View and Dashboard.

*Loadstar.com in its article ”The calm before the 'supply chain storm' when China's air freight rates soar,” points to 300-400% rise in airfreight rates once production is back on full and “before belly traffic returns to the country.”

Screenshot from Khor Reports’ Durian Economy map

Screenshot from Khor Reports’ Durian Economy map

Sneak Peek! A Preliminary View (and a Dashboard) for Durians in China

It is up! After a couple of months of mining and examining about 3,300 lines of data, Khor Reports is pleased to present to you our preliminary view of durians in China.

In the post, we talk about the spike in interest for the King of Fruits as well as the possible ramifications of the rather dramatic increase in demand for durians from China. We’ve also thrown in a dashboard of consolidated data which illustrates an overall view regarding the local durian farmscape, products, and China retail indicators—feel free to play around with it!

Click here to read the full post.

#Durian #MusangKing #China #Malaysia #ChinaMalaysia

Malaysia Durian Exports - Market Research Advisory

The NEW Durian Economics of Malaysia: Exports, farms and the competitive landscape by Khor Yu Leng, Sep 2019

Reviews certified supply-chain and farmscape of Malaysia, product competitive landscape in China and its key provinces, public interest in durian and other imported fruits, Thailand export status, and price indicators (farm, export, import and China retail).

A must for those eyeing the export market.

Please contact yuleng@segi-enam.com

Recent Commentaries on Durian

Mulling the economic and price implications of freezing durians, an important change in the Malaysian durian supply chain. Price transparency is an issue. Interviewed for “China to buy US$120 million of durians a year from Malaysia as spike in sales expected after green light on export of whole fruits,” 18 Jun 2019, Tashny Sukumuran, SCMP.

On durian prices and grades. A hefty bill for Malaysia fans? But why are Singapore prices cited as lower? BFM podcast, “WOULD YOU DUIT FOR DURIAN?” Khor Yu Leng, Independent Political Economist, Segi Enam Advisors 04-Jun-19. Produced by Tasha Fusil, BFM.

Big boys getting into Malaysia durian? Property tycoon Lim Kang Hoo connects China players (including Greenland) with FGV Berhad. He also buys Mahathir-linked. Value-added durian products eyes. Durian pizza? “As Malaysia ramps up its durian exports to China, quirky product offerings may be answer to rivalling Thailand’s dominance,” by Khor Yu-Leng, 6 May 2019, SCMP Commentary.

 #durian #Malaysia #China #ChinaMalaysia #BRI

Via Linkedin Profile, other commentaries and interviews in the media are linked here.